Northern Rock

Posted by: Adam Meredith on 16 September 2007

I have never understood high finance - partly, I suspect, because it doesn't really make sense.

Northern Rock has shareholders - it is presumably not a Mutual Society.

BBC's business editor Robert Peston (who appears to talk abject bollocks) is quoted as saying:

"The BBC has also learned that two banks were very interested in acquiring the beleaguered firm.

However, they were concerned about doing such a big deal amid turmoil in money markets and when it was difficult and expensive to raise money from other banks and financial institutions.

Mr Peston said the two interested parties sought guarantees from the Bank of England that it would supply facilities to fund Northern Rock's assets - valued at about £113bn - if that money was impossible to obtain on the market - but that these were refused.

"The Bank did not want to be seen to be bailing out Northern Rock's shareholders and bondholders," he said.

"It feels they need to feel the pain and suffer the losses of their mistake in backing a bank, Northern Rock, whose strategy was flawed."

"It is the banking Catch 22 of our time: Northern Rock can't be sold without a guarantee of funding from the Bank of England, but the Bank is refusing to provide such funding to facilitate a sale."

He added that the Bank now had to decide whether to inject billions of pounds into the firm, or "swallow its pride" and allow public money to facilitate a sale."

What is an asset (valued at about £113bn) - if it needs to be "funded" by the Bank of England to be an asset?

If the Bank of England provides a guarantee of funding to facilitate a sale - there is then (if they're lucky) a sale in which management and shareholders get money. Do they give some/all of this back or do they just get their arses saved by the B of E?

Where do depositors fit in vis-a-vis shareholders? Or are they the same?

Even at its most "prudent" the bank industry relies on a benign lie. There is never enough "money" to give back everything to everyone as each £1 deposited supports, say, £10 of loans. This works fairly well - so long as you don't get a run on the banks - at that moment you begin to understand who has been "funding" inflation and how ill-equipped they are to maintain any stability - once the bubble bursts.
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by Bob McC
It is.
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by JamieWednesday
From a self fulfilling prophecy perspective, you may be right...

(But don't be convinced that HM Treasury is somehow immune to financial problems...)
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by JamieWednesday
quote:
Baaa Baaa.

Nic


Yes, I'm afraid you are quite right. Never underestimate the herding instinct of man. One can provide and receive the most eloquent, common sense and dispassionate advice and discussions but fundamentally we are pack animals and, as has been quoted before, that's when we start burning "witches", swapping tulip bulbs for houses or putting money into stocks ending in .com.

Gordon Brown is not to blame for today's situation, others are more culpable (e.g Greenspan who acted to try and preserve his own and his cronies feathered nests while he was in a job, as opposed to supporting the greater good and now talks some utter crap in the belief that his is the word of a financial God - although heaven knows he has his disciples). The U.S. may well indeed start reducing interest rates again this week which may in turn calm jitters, but it won't solve the problems, perhaps it will fuel them further for the long term. Of course if the U.S. actually started repaying their debts in hard assets like gold (or even wheat, oil, sugar) again (which they stopped doing in early in the seventies) rather than paper dolars, that might help too. But somehow I can't see it. Still, we can always buy the yellow stuff ourselves...
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by Polarbear
An elderly lady receives an e-mail from the son of a deceased (but wealthy) African general, asking whether he could transfer millions of pounds into her UK bank account in return for a 20% cut. All the son needs is the sort code and account number. Not realising she is the victim of a Nigerian 419 fraud, she e-mails back the details.

A couple of minutes later she receives an e-mail back from the general's son: 'Northern Rock?! What is this, some sort of scam?"
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by Steve S1
Big Grin
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by Rockingdoc
Here is a nice simple explanation of how banking works film
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by u5227470736789439
IF HM Treasury defaulted then I think it fair to say that the pound would not be worth the paper it was printed on in any case. George
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by Adam Meredith
quote:
Originally posted by GFFJ:
the pound would not be worth the paper it was printed on in any case. George


That might be cleverer than you intended.
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by Stephen Bennett
I prefer Northern Soul. Big Grin

Stephen
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by ewemon
I smell negative equity coming in the housing market!!!!!
Posted on: 17 September 2007 by u5227470736789439
quote:
Originally posted by Adam Meredith:
quote:
Originally posted by GFFJ:
the pound would not be worth the paper it was printed on in any case. George


That might be cleverer than you intended.


Dear Adam,

I meant what I wrote. I am not sure it is all that clever, but it is true.

ATB from George
Posted on: 18 September 2007 by Adam Meredith
quote:
Originally posted by GFFJ:
the pound would not be worth the paper it was printed on in any case.
Posted on: 18 September 2007 by Bob McC
Don't they still have pound notes in Scotland?
Posted on: 18 September 2007 by Jono 13
quote:
Originally posted by ewemon:
I smell negative equity coming in the housing market!!!!!


Bring it on, I might be able to afford a bigger place if the difference between my current house and the next rung up the ladder gets small enough.

Jono
Posted on: 18 September 2007 by rupert bear
quote:
Originally posted by nicnaim:
I do not remember customers queing up outside Barclays when they received similar "top up's" from the Bank of England recently.

Before you know it the same people will be clearing the supermarket shelves in case they run out of food!

Baaa Baaa.

Nic


Not far off the mark - the people of Gloucestershire cleared the supermarkets of bottled water during the recent floods, quite unnecessarily as it turned out.

Back to topic, do any of the 'financial wizards' on this forum see the same happening with other non-mutual UK building societies / banks, or was N Rock a bit out on a limb? It always struck me as the one trying hard to be leading edge when it came to offering the most attractive rates, and to an old codger like me therefore smelled a bit iffy.
Posted on: 18 September 2007 by u5227470736789439
quote:
Originally posted by Adam Meredith:
quote:
Originally posted by GFFJ:
the pound would not be worth the paper it was printed on in any case.




Dear Adam,

I was thinking of "the pound" in the same way as the writer of the financial news on the radio might think of it when penning the headingline, " the pound fell against the dollar in the late afternoon, after the inflation figures were announced..."

I don't suppose he or she would be thinking of a small coin falling out of a trader's pocket while a metal dollar safely stayed at the same height in the other pocket!

This would have been a perfect chance to use a smiley! But I have given them up till Easter 2036, when I will start using them again to celebrate surviving into the year of my 75 birthday! Or not!!!

ATB from George!
Posted on: 18 September 2007 by Polarbear
Adams just being Adam George Winker
Posted on: 18 September 2007 by u5227470736789439
Dear Nigel,

We are both being ourselves! Adam's posts always make me smile, and I can play a very straight [dry-humoured] bat sometimes as well!

ATB from George
Posted on: 02 October 2007 by John Channing
The big loss by UBS has not attracted as much attention in the press as the problems at Northern Rock, but is, I suspect, the first of many investment banks (or hedge funds) to suffer huge losses as a result of the sub-prime crisis. Keep an eye on the other banks in the next few weeks as I suspect most will quietly report catastrophic Q3 losses.
John
Posted on: 02 October 2007 by Roy T
I was listening to a business related offering on The World Service last night and one of the talking heads reckoned that the first ripples caused by the sub prime lending and the use of complicated financial instruments are just now being reflected in a few banking results and forecasts. The conclusion of this late night financial interview was that thing will get a lot worse as banks and intuitions may take up to two years to track and quantify their positions. The opinion was that some of the outcomes produced by the use of these complicated financial instruments was not fully understood by those using them, not enough real world data to say what will happen when things start to go tits up.
Posted on: 03 October 2007 by Cheese
quote:
Originally posted by John Channing:
The big loss by UBS
As a sidenote, the managers at UBS have been among the best paid in Europe for several years, its president topping the list with around 20 million € last year (and not much less during the 3-4 past years). Now they lost billions and plan to lay off 1500 - no need to say that the managers won't earn one cent less this year.