The USA changes the Middle East

Posted by: Arye_Gur on 11 January 2004

Asad goes to visit to Turkey – a country his father didn’t visit for dozens of years.
Asad asks to talk peace with Israel.

Kadafi is talking with Israeli officials.

From your point there – what do you think about the situation?

Arye
Posted on: 12 January 2004 by Justin
It's pretty clear from my perspective that certain sectors of the isreali population are as obstinate as certain of those sectors in the Palastinian population. The protests this last week regarding the settlements is a clear case of simply not wanting this process to work. Arafat screwed Camp David royally. The settlers may now be screwing this. Sharon needs to make the hard choices. I hope he makes the hard choices. Use the Syrian overtures as a springboard for new compromises. You can't please all the people all of the time. This is a big test for Sharon.

judd
Posted on: 12 January 2004 by Justin
BTW,

a million arguments can be made that recent foreign policy decisions affecting iraq and gannistan have nothing to do with even more recent events set forth in this thread. But, it would be intellectually dishonest in the extreme to fail to admit (even begrudgingly) that the bush doctrine MAY have played some part here. I'm included to find no coincidences here. From the Boston Globe (NOT a conservative paper) by way of the Daily Dish:

"The kaleidoscope of Mideast power relations has just gone through one of its periodic shifting of shapes. Saddam Hussein is a prisoner of war, Iran is accepting intrusive inspection of its nuclear sites, Khadafy is dismantling his weapons of mass destruction programs in order to have sanctions on Libya lifted, and Assad's impoverished minority regime may look upon a negotiated peace with Israel as its best chance to prolong its existence."

I'll add to this the recent US delegation which APPEARED to have significant access to nuclear facilities in NK last month. Maybe, just MAYBE, something could be going on here. Maybe.

Judd
Posted on: 12 January 2004 by MichaelC
I suspect that events in Afghanistan and Iraq have played a part in the recent events in Libya, Syria, Iran etc.

I do hope that progress is made however, as has been seen in the past, progress (apparent or not) can be so quickly derailed by the actions of a few.

Mike
Posted on: 12 January 2004 by Justin
PR,

what??

Be productive, asswipe.

Judd
Posted on: 13 January 2004 by Arye_Gur
Alan says
quote:

A good start - now get rid of the West Bank settlements.


Few years ago this sentence could start an argue with me, but these days I'm certain that the settlements are obstacle for a peace with the Palestinians.

Arye
Posted on: 14 January 2004 by Berlin Fritz
Hi Arye, How yer doin ?
I recently read the following article in a British paper
that I regularly read, and I thought you'd be interested in seeing it, written
by an Israeli, but for Europeans as it were ? It's a serious commentary in a
magazine usually renowned for its satire (so take it as you wish ?)I will just
say that I do not personally make any comment on this article whats'oever, and I
don't really want any comments from you about it either, I mean that in a
friendly way if you understand my meaning my friend !

"Letter from Israel"
from Our Own Correspondent

Our Prime Minister Ariel Sharon may be getting on a bit, but even at 76 his
arithmatic remains sharp. When he announced the "Painful concession" of
removing 13 unlicensed Israeli settlements in the occupied territories in
December 2003, he had done his sums: these were exactly one tenth of the 130
unlicensed (but army protected) settlements established under his rule. The
rest will stay - as will the 145 older, licensed ones, forming a permanent
Israeli space.
Also staying is the 12ft separation wall currently being built
around Palestinian towns and villages. In other words, the aims of Sharon's
much-vaunted " unilateral steps" are no different from Old Bulldozer's
life-long one; a Greater Israel.
If his current plan succeeds, a mere 10
percent of pre-1948 Palestine will be left for its Arab residents. "It's yes
to peace, no to the Palestinians," quipped one Israeli satirist. Or as
Sharon's contemporary, the peace campaigner Uri Avneri, put it, "Palestinian
territory is being scissored into pieces to create isolated Palestinian
enclaves, each of them an open air prison."
Sharon's plan is the formalisation
of a policy which has already caused the Israelis lots of trouble, including
the freezing of our diplomatic relations with Egypt and Jordan, and the
collapse of our over-taxed economy. Even the ever-loving Bush administration
reacted by cutting loan-guarantees in protest.
The plan also strengthened
those in the Palestinian camp whose only policy idea is to create a lot more
dead Israelis. Terror bombings are now often carried out the very day after
Israeli troops have killed Palestinians. The resulting grim quality of
Israeli life makes other countries more attractive: for the first time ,
young Israelis are applying in some numbers for German citizenship on the
strength of having a grandparent born there. Even the loyalty of the top
brass can no longer be taken for granted. Four former heads of our fabled
Shinbet intelligence service have publicly declared that Sharon's "war on
terror" cannot be won. His chief of staff, Lt Gen Moshe Ya'alon, has called
the present policy "destructive".
Twenty-seven Israeli pilots have refused to
carry out any more occupation missions and the members of the elite Matkal
unit, whose soldiers carried out the daring raid on Entebbe in 1976, joined
their unprecedented stand.
A beleaguered Sharon must now rely on support
elsewhere. The Prime minister a secular "sabra"- that once admired class of
"New Jews" born in the homeland but without any religious attachment - is
still loved by most of Israel's one million Russian immigrants, a community
well used to governments which flatten minorities. He is also liked by the
religious settlers who dont care how he realises their dream of building an
air-conditioned replica of biblical Israel in a place inhabited by others.
"The practical side is non of my business," a settler leader told a cabinet
minister on a recent West Bank visit.
Those who find it more difficult to
overlook "the practical side", of course are the Palestinians. Most now have
to clamber through a narrow gap in a concrete wall in order to leave their
homes. To discourage even this population movement, soldiers regularly force
them to wait for up to 48 hours at their checkpoints. This makes it not just
impossible for Palestinians to go to school, hospital, or work, but even to
the toilet. There are no sanitary facilities and drivers waiting to pass may
not leave their cars.

Taken From Private Eye Magazine (UK) issue 1097, who I hope wont get on my
case for forwarding this excellent article in the spirit that it is intended.


All the best,
Fritz, have a nice day, it was a pleasure to type it up for you. Smile
Posted on: 15 January 2004 by Berlin Fritz
I do hope you've not been held up in a traffic jam somewhere ?
All the best,
Fritz Von Jeremy Wink
Posted on: 16 January 2004 by Arye_Gur
Fritz,
I don’t like this kind of article as this is one sided view, and the fact that Israelis are saying this, doesn’t make it be an ultimate truth.

quote:
- Twenty seven Israeli pilots have refused to
carry out any more occupation missions and the members of the elite Matkal


Few of the 27 pilots are not in the army and weren’t in the army when they wrote the petition, all of them never acted in the occupied territory. The soldiers of “elite Matkal” are not acting at the occupied territory. So beautiful as it seems to be, an opinion about what goes between us and the Palestinians, told by a retired hi ranked pilot or told by Arye Gur have the same weight. It is obvious to me that few people are using their army glory for political reasons and the most senior pilot who wrote the petition is a best proof that this is the reason. By the way, he said that the petition was written while he was abroad and he doesn’t agree with the exact worded.

You can criticize Sharon, but he is not the only one to be blamed about the situation here, and everyone who is blaming Sharon like Sharon is the one and only actor here, must have a serious problem with his way of seeing things.

Arye
Posted on: 16 January 2004 by Berlin Fritz
Hi Ayre,
I promise I'll send you any future articles I find that are maybe not one sided and that I hope you will like.


Cheers, Fritz Von Weekendyeah Wink
Posted on: 16 January 2004 by Arye_Gur
Hi Fritz,

I have no doubt that Israel took many wrong acts against the Palestinians.
I wrote here few times that the Palestinians are in a bad situation. But they real problem is that their leadership is not dealing with the situation as it should be. It is popular now to put the blame solely on Israel.

Arye
Posted on: 16 January 2004 by Tarquin Maynard - Portly
quote:
Originally posted by Arye_Gur:
Hi Fritz,

. But they real problem is that their leadership is not dealing with the situation as it should be. It is popular now to put the blame solely on Israel.

Arye


Arye

Is that the same leadership that has has its compound systematically destroyed and sorounded by Merkava tanks which now hold it prisoner?

Mike - not anti Semite by the way.

On the Yellow Brick Road and Happy
Posted on: 17 January 2004 by Arye_Gur
Yes, Mike.

I want to tell here the true story - it is a scoop, nobody ever told this and I'm telling it to you now. I'm taking the risk that tomorrow the Israeli police will put me in prison. The story goes this way -
One night, the Defense Minister of Israel - Mofaz, wanted to sleep with his wife. His wife told him that she has a hard headache. The next morning Mofaz sent tanks to the West Bank.

Arye
Posted on: 17 January 2004 by Justin
1 point - Arye

I love it.

Judd
Posted on: 18 January 2004 by ErikL
Snow White and the Madness of Truth

Hey Arye, what do you think of your diplomat's actions in Sweden, and Sharon's support of his (Mazel's) actions?
Posted on: 19 January 2004 by Arye_Gur
I think that the show is awful, but the diplomat Zvi mazel shouldn't take out of the wall electric cables.
The artist is (or was?) a Jew from Israel who gave up his citizenship in Israel. I think that there are Israelis who are getting nervous when a Jew says something against the Israeli policy - for myself, for that matter, I don't see any difference between a Jew, a person who owns an Israeli citizenship or any other person around the globe who is criticizing the Israeli policy (even if he is a pilot in our air force).

I think that it is wrong to justify murder of innocent citizens for any reason, and as I saw the bloody pool with the picture of the "snow white" floating on the blood, it is awful to my eyes.

Arye
Posted on: 19 January 2004 by bjorne
Arye, this "awful" show is part of an anually held international congress that the swedish goverment is arranging. The purpose of it is to remember the Holocaust, Pol Pot etc, to never forget these terrible traumas and to educate young people about history.

Whatever anyone thinks about this particular piece of art it is of course unacceptable trying to destroy it. What comes next, forbidding certain litterature?
I have seen this piece of art, "Snowwhite and the madness of the truth", and it fills me with a terrible sadness that this spiral of violence continues with losses in human innocent lives and the sorrow and suffering that follows. IMO "Snowwhite" opens up for some important discussions.

Regarding the peace process, this matter is so complicated but my opinion is that it's alot better for Israel, and of course the palestinians, when Likud is not in the goverment. They seem completely unwilling to give anything away, using excessive force. I know that a very big % of the population in Israel wants peace and is willing to give land away. Unfortunately the political balance is a bit complicated, to put it mildly..

Of course the rest of the world might also be responsible for not putting enough pressure on both sides, or helping enough.

I wish you good luck. Shalom
Posted on: 19 January 2004 by Arye_Gur
quote:
Whatever anyone thinks about this particular piece of art it is of course unacceptable trying to destroy it. What comes next, forbidding certain litterature?


Agree

quote:
that it's alot better for Israel, ..........., when Likud is not in the goverment

Agree,
The Likud is destroying the country, and Ariel sharon and his sons are involved in corruption that make me feel very bad about my prime minister. And all of this is not coneected to the Palestinians.

Arye
Posted on: 29 January 2004 by ErikL
Arye,

What are your thoughts on the situation within the next 10 years when Palestinians will outnumber Israelis and will demand equitable representation in politics (i.e., one vote per person)? I expect Israel's leadership will never honor that request- true? Doesn't all of this worry you to the point of not sleeping?

A program I watched last night discussed this possibilty if a Palestinian state isn't established in the next few years. You probably don't want to be the next apartheid country. I also imagine Israel doesn't want to be outnumbered by suicide bombers who take several Israelis with them each time they explode themselves. What has your leadership said about this looming "one vote per person" issue? Do they not realize that the wall and all the prohibitive barriers and checkpoints behind it are creating a monster?

PS- Sharon really needs to read "Getting To Yes". Wink
Posted on: 31 January 2004 by Arye_Gur
Ludwig,

This problem is divided to two:
1. The number of the Palestinians from the meditirenien to the Jordan.
2. The number of the Palestinians in Israel as its border was before June 1967.

For the first issue, I'm sure that the Palestinians will have their own state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.

In the "Green Border" there is a possibility that in 50 years from now the Israeli Arabs will be equal by number to the Jews here.

Most of the people of Israel are sure that Israel must be a Jewish state - there are people at the very left side of the political wing here who are thinking that the only chance to live here in peace is to accept that a state here must be a binational state.

I think that the first step is to build a trust in the region. My sons will have to deal with the problem when I’ll be far away in another world. Both the present governments – ours and the Palestinians are doing nothing to get closer to this target. We must wait few years to see to what direction we are going to. To my opinion, if things will stay as they are now, there will be no choice in the future but to discriminate the Arabs in Israel – to day, they are equal citizens here.

Arye
Posted on: 31 January 2004 by ErikL
Arye,

It's funny that this thread is titled "The USA changes the Middle East". If your conclusion that you'll have no choice but to discriminate against a battered and caged people is a majority belief among Israelis, then the US hasn't changed a damn thing in the Middle East where it matters most. And if (many) Israelis maintain a supremacist, finger-pointing attitude, Israelis and Palestinians will march down an unsustainable and dangerous path until they extinguish one another. (I know, I know- obvious innit and all that.)

PS- If you were an average Palestinian child, what opportunities would you have to live out your hopes and dreams and how realistic would it be to achieve them?
Posted on: 31 January 2004 by Berlin Fritz
Some serious integrated schools along the lines of Northern Ireland would be a good starter for ten, would it not Ayre my old Pal ?

Fritz Von Egotripsdon'tpaytherent Wink

The English Department at Haifa Uniwersity is second to none my friend, so you have no argument in rwespect of not understanding my (our) words. Tschüß
Posted on: 31 January 2004 by Arye_Gur
Ludwig,

The terror here is a great obstacle to peace.
If the terror stops, there is a good chance to change the future. Even if I think that I may have a problem with the Israeli Arabs in 50 years from now, I don't think that the solution is to bomb them in their villages in Israel. Sharon and Arafat will not last forever.

Arye
Posted on: 31 January 2004 by Arye_Gur
Fritz,

Because of the differences in culture and because of the fact that culture and religion are a part in the official arrangements in Israel, young Arab kids can't study with young Jewish kids.
But in the University of Haifa, both groups are studying English (among other subjects) together.

Arye
Posted on: 01 February 2004 by ErikL
quote:
Originally posted by Arye_Gur:
The terror here is a great obstacle to peace.
If the terror stops, there is a good chance to change the future.


Roll Eyes

Right on cue- the finger-pointing "it's them not us" attitude I was talking about. I'm amazed with the popularity of the perspective that terror has to stop before a land settlement can be reached. People who share that view can't honestly want peace today. Come on Arye.

Try this:

The caging of Palestinians like animals is the great obstacle to peace and to safety for Israelis. Knock down the walls, give Palestinians their freedom and land, and there will be peace because the Palestinians will halt terror themselves because they will have something they wouldn't want to lose in retaliation by Israel- their own land with internationally respected borders and legitimacy in the global community.
Posted on: 02 February 2004 by Arye_Gur
Ludwig

I think that you are missing few facts.
First, I think that the settlements are an obstacle to peace,
I know that my parents deported cruelty 700,000 Palestinians in the year 1948. After saying this, I wish to correct you:

quote:
because they will have something they wouldn't want to lose in retaliation by Israel
.
Many leaders in Israel thought that it is important to improve the economic situation of the Palestinian in the occupied territory. The leaders of Europe wanted to help by giving money to the Palestinians' authority. What happened? The money was stolen by Arafat and his friends.
The situation went so bad – until the European governments decided to stop delivering the money to the Palestinians.
Israel can help the situation by letting the Palestinians work in Israel, but few of them are using it to commit suicide bomb in Israel.
Sharon stated that the Palestinians will have a state in the West bank and Gaza Strip. Arafat stated many times that a Palestinians state is only a first step to get control on Jaffa and Haifa (and I'm living in Haifa!!!).
You are thinking that the Palestinians can stop the terror – but you are wrong! Few times, in order to achieve quiet for several months, there were trials to come to agreement with the Palestinians to stop the terror at least temporally – all the trials failed. The reason is that the Palestinians authority has no control of all the groups in their land. Actually, IDF is acting like a Palestinians police department in order to get control of the groups who are taking the terror as a strategic way of act.

I say many times that Israel is not free of mistakes with its treatment to the Palestinians, but the Palestinians are not showing a serious way in trying to solve the situation here.

Arye