The British Military Future?

Posted by: u5227470736789439 on 12 January 2007

Today Mr Blair posed a question about where British priorities lay militarily speaking and later answered them (in his opinion) without waiting for any response elsewhere!

Should Britain retain a relatively heavy weight military punch or come into line with other European Nations' levels of military expenditure and accept that she no longer is a Superpower as she was in the days of Empire, perhaps eighty years ago?

Mr Blair suggested that we should retain the heavy weight approach, so that we can maintain a "pro-active" approach to dealing with the problems of the world in Britain's interests. It is one view, but as it happens it has not been mine for twenty five years, when the idea of massive reductions in military expenditure were proposed by the Conservatives in the early nineteen eighties.

I have two reasons for believing we should come into line with the rest of Europe on this. Firstly we need to sort out whether it is more important to sort out the Saddam Huseins of this world [we simply cannot take on every tyrant in any case] or make sure our schools and hospitals are adequately run, and secondly:

We do not seem to be able to run an independant Foreign Policy from the USA. If we could make no significant contribution to their position by supposting them militarily, giving them some semblance of moral respectability in their crazy adventures, they would soon loose interest in us, which in my view would by now a very good thing. The other issue is that a big military gives the Prime Minister of the day extra-ordinary power as War is a question of the Royal Prerogative and not a question for Parliamentary democratic intervention and steadying. Thus if we get a megalomaniac, and even dishonest Prime Minister we are stuck with being in a War situation, however unpopular this might be with the voting population in UK.

In reality our Prime Minister's support of the Bush Administration's Neo-con inspired invasion of Iraq, with all the veiled lies and half truths, would never have been possible if we had had the level of military expenditure that the rest of Europe has. I am sure that no European country has come out of this worse than the UK as a result.

Of course it would require a different set up accross the European defence organisations as though Russia is no longer the threat she was in Cold War Days, it is pointless to roll over and let any neigbour potentially threaten us militarily. But the present [and certainly future] gas supply issues with Russia will not be sorted out by military action. They cannot be.

So my position is that over a ten year time scale the UK should reduce its level of GDP spent on military matters to the EU average, while we plan a truly Pan European Army. I am sure that a very small highly professional British Military would still be a formidable force, but not one capable of doing anything significant to back up the madder policies of the worst aspects of the US ruling elite.

It is one view, and I would be grateful if others including the many military gentlemen here would add theirs, and even debate the ideas outlined above.

Sincerely from Fredrik, who is a British Subject, born in UK, but of a Norwegain mother and English father.
Posted on: 12 January 2007 by u5227470736789439
Another important issue not being adequately aired is the question of whether to replace Trident, and it seems pointless to me as we certainly cannot use it without US permission, which is ridiculous considering the huge cost. I say scrap it without replacment and lead the world "morally" from the race to nuclear arms proliferation.

Sincerely, Fredrik
Posted on: 12 January 2007 by acad tsunami
Good post Fredrik. You have mail.
Posted on: 12 January 2007 by joe90
I'm not trying to justify anything here but the UK has a lot to thank the Yanks for (look up little events like WW1 and WW2 if you don't remember).

I think the UK and the USA will be tied up for a few generations before that little hand out of the fire(s) can be forgotten...
Posted on: 13 January 2007 by northpole
I found it rather perverse that Mr Blair gave a speech promoting continued strength of the British military from a Royal Naval base at a time when the government has trickle fed the press with news that they are about to go back on previous assurances given to the Navy that destroyers being retired would be replaced with a new fleet and an air craft carrier to follow.

In promoting this debate, is he having a(nother) laugh?

Peter
Posted on: 13 January 2007 by Roy T
The uncensored videos of our forces in action as seen over the last few months on Youtube do not fit too well with some of the views and thoughts issued from number 10 and when coupled with lectures and talks given by newly retired commanders I feel that Mr Blair is attempting to show all concerned that he is still the boss and that the armed forces are still fit for the purpose of projecting his foreign policy to all four corners of the known world.

Tony Blair speaks to Defence in-house publications
Prime Minister answers tough defence questions during TV debate
Posted on: 13 January 2007 by Beano
Britain needs to get its foreign policy back from where they outsourced it during the Suez crisis.

Beano
Posted on: 13 January 2007 by BigH47
Seems sensible to me to replace our weapon to destroy half of mankind, when not being able to properly protech our troops on the ground in actual fighting.
The sooner we stop being the 51st state the better.
Do you think the Americans we just being nice when they helped out in '17-'18 and 42-'45. I think they were looking at the big picture. They were looking to become the "arsend of democracy".
Posted on: 13 January 2007 by u5227470736789439
Dear Joe,

Are you saying the only reason that we are in Iraq is due to gratitude for extremely late entry into the two World Wars? If so I think the debt has been paid back more than twenty years ago. My view is that if we had had a man of the stature of H MacMillan in place of the man we have as PM today, the US would have found an altogether better way of combatting Bin Laden than invading Iraq themselves, with our mealy-mouth compliance and support. The Invasion was wrong headed, and the UK [led by the nose by Blair] was wrong headed to support it. Blair even inadvertently admitted as much recently, when he agreed with Sir David Frost that the campaign had been a disaster! Of course this was spun away afterwards, but one could see what had happened, and one could but smile that even Mr Blair has at least a tiny honest streak!

I am certain that our future is in a solid, and fair relationship with Europe, rather than as being the 51st State. Post this adventure in Iraq, the UK has a huge amount of ground to make up in Europe to regain the necessary respect, so the sooner we start the better in my opinion. In my view and it has been my view since 1981, we should seriously distance ourselves from the USA, and one of the best ways would be to cease to live beyond our means militarily, as they would soon loose interest in us, if we no more significant than the average European nation. The Cold War is over, so Europe is no longer going to be a bridgehead for the old USSR to dominate the world from!

Also please don't forget that the US had and continues to have significant military advantage itself from their bases in UK. The role of the UK in particular offering technical expertise to the US has been going on for a very long time with such examples as giving the US, Whittal's Jet Engine technologies for nothing etc. If that is not the case, then their military bases here can close forthwith. We owe the US nothing now after this Iraq debacle. The shame of it is more than any remaining debt might have morally bounds us to them with. The relationship is over, and we should admit it.

Sincerely, Fredrik
Posted on: 13 January 2007 by Willy
quote:
Originally posted by Fredrik_Fiske:
Another important issue not being adequately aired is the question of whether to replace Trident, and it seems pointless to me as we certainly cannot use it without US permission, which is ridiculous considering the huge cost. I say scrap it without replacment and lead the world "morally" from the race to nuclear arms proliferation.

Sincerely, Fredrik


Fredrick,

I'm reliably informed that this is an "Urban Myth". The Uk can use Trident independant of USA.

Regards,

Willy.
Posted on: 13 January 2007 by u5227470736789439
Though I no longer have the particular paper, even Keegan, defence correspondent of the Telegraph wrote that it was not. No one challenged this at the time, so I think it has been an unchallnged acertion in a leading newspaper in UK.

If one cannot believe the Telegraph, who one might assume was in favour of a strong British military, then who can one believe? I am afraid I no longer believe any utterance from the current government.

Kindest, Fredrik
Posted on: 13 January 2007 by acad tsunami
A state of war only serves as an excuse for domestic tyranny.

- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by Willy
Frederick,

My source was one of the engineers who built them, and had been on the sea trials. Maybe not as high brow as the Telehgraph but he seemed sincere.
At the time we were standing between the missile launch tubes inside a Trident submarine. Most impressive piece of kit but obviously comfort for someone of my height was not a primary requirement in their design.

Regards,

Willy.
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by acad tsunami
Predictably, Tony Blair is virtually alone among world leaders in supporting George Bush's "new strategy" for Iraq. Blair says the plan "makes ense". Is this the same Tony Blair who barely one month ago welcomed the Iraq Study Group's report, saying, "It is practical, it's clear, and it offers also the way of bringing people together"? The ISG report called for a phased withdrawal of US troops from Iraq and dialogue with Iran and Syria -- in other words, the opposite of Bush's "new strategy."

There is one group that has always had the power to stop Blair's compulsive subservience to George Bush: members of parliament. So far, the majority have acquiesced in every stage of Blair's warmongering. On 24 January, Iraq will be debated and voted on in parliament. I pray that MPs now know that they must not repeat their abject performance on 31 October 2006, when only 12 Labour MPs voted for an inquiry into the whole Iraq disaster.


There is nothing "new" about George Bush's latest plans for Iraq. The same
strategy has been used repeatedly, twice before in Baghdad, in Falluja, in Ramadi, in Tal Afar and many other places. The intention and the result have always been the same. Devastating military force aimed at pacifying a town or
city doesn't achieve its aim but turns much of the target into rubble, slaughters countless civilians, drives thousands from their homes and destroys the local infrastructure. We saw the same thing last year when the US sponsored terrorist state of Israel committed mass murder of innocent civilians in Beirut.

This time the consequences have the potential to be more horrific than anything we have seen before in Iraq. The main aim of the "new strategy" is to destroy the resistance to the US occupation which has made Sadr City, home to two
million of Baghdad's poorest citizens, a virtual no-go area for the occupying army. This is a dramatic escalation of the Iraq war but the Bush plans don't stop there. The "new strategy" includes open threats against Syria and Iran,
which - coupled with the leaks that show Israeli has it own plans for bombing Iran - means that we may be on the brink of a Middle East conflagration with results too horrendous to contemplate.

The "new strategy" is George Bush's last throw of the dice, aimed at disproving what everyone else knows: America has lost the Iraq war. It was always unwinnable and there never was an exit strategy.

We have been here before, as Senator Hagel from Bush's own Party reminded us when he said the "new strategy" "represents the most dangerous foreign policy since Vietnam. In 1968, America had clearly lost in Vietnam but it was six more bloody years, in which two million people were
killed, before the US military was driven out.

Seventy per cent of Americans and over 70 per cent of Iraqis oppose the "new strategy". In Britain, over 60 per cent of people have consistently opposed Tony Blair's warmongering and his slavish support for George Bush. Bush & Blair are war criminals - pure, plain and simple.

MORE WAR CRIMES IN SOMALIA - George Bush's bombing of Somalia this week broke innumerable international laws but you wouldn't know it from the mainstream media, which hasn't questioned the legality of a bombing campaign that has devastated four villages, killing over 100 Somali civilians, without any indication that any of the supposed Al-Qaeda targets of the bombing were killed. (How can this be? According to Tarquin Maynard-Portly the media reports everything Roll Eyes) This is yet another indication of the barbarity that has characterised much of Bush's foreign policy. These Somali civilians were killed by attacks which were to a large extent publicity exercises aimed at softening opposition to the "new strategy" in Iraq and an attempt by Bush to re-assert his "right" to order mass slaughter anywhere he pleases in his bogus "war on terror". Even the British would not have used such a ferocious display of high tech weaponry they would have put assets in on the ground to quietly achieve their aim – the American way is always the way of the bully and it concerns me greatly that Britian is becoming more like the US every day.
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by u5227470736789439
Dear Willy,

I am not saying that what the Telegraph said was more right than your friend. The press is often wrong, but rather that is was not countered, which mistakes often are on such an issue.

On the other hand, I would certainly not want to see the Trident system replaced, and when it ceases to be a viable system, I would like to see it decommissioned with a minimum of ceremony.

All the best from Fredrik
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by Willy
Frederick,

I gues there's a certain irony that as we are privy to more and more information about the world from an ever increasing range of sources it's becoming increasingly difficult to discern exactly where the truth lies. So many agendas.

I haven't put a lot of thought into the Trident replacement question, however I do believe in the benefit of negotiation from a position of strong defence. Wether or not a Trident type of weapon is relevant to the defence of the realm, or may be in times yet to come is for me unanswered. Unless of course they want me to do a spot more contracting in Barrow, in which case I'm all for it!

Regards,

Willy.
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by u5227470736789439
Given what would happen if a Nuclear Warhead were released by Britain, I tend to think that the prospect of the SAS or Maraines in a more conventional lightning style (anti-terrorist?) style opperation might very well have more credibility in the real World. I don't think Mr Putin would use Nuclear weapons against Britain, as the old Soviets might have ...

And mostly if the use was considered by some middle earstern despost, I suspect that whether we had them or not ceases to be relievant once the other side is demonstatrably being led by someone mad enough to use them in the first place...

Only my view. I don't say there is any certainly correct answer! I think it is good meat for a debate.

ATB from Fredrik
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by acad tsunami
Given the fact that the Trident software system sits on Windows servers and not something more secure like Unix it is known that the US has a backdoor to the system. Winker
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by Beano
Acad,

All we can hope for is that the Democrats refuse him the money; they can do this as they control Congress? I think there is about 9-10 Republicans who have voiced their opposition to it, only because they’re up for defeat in 2008?

If it goes ahead, it’ll be a gloves off, all out onslaught on areas held by Muktada al Sadr and his Medhi army , which as we already know, one of which is a heavily populated slum housing area known as Sadr City. Picture the scene, a sniper shoots from a house, the response would be to level the area, brining a new meaning to urban counter-insurgency, killing, maiming, and making countless people homeless.

I think this is the biggest disaster in American foreign policy since Vietnam!

Beano
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by acad tsunami
Beano,

I agree. It seems to me that America is lost without an enemy, once the cold war was over it needed to invent a new one. Britain needs to dump the US in my opinion and forge stronger links with Europe to act as a future buffer between the US and China.

Acad
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by Beano
Little bit about Trident...

System; Degree of dependency



Warhead

The UK warhead is a copy of the US W76 warhead.



Arming, fusing and firing system

This triggers the explosion. The model used in UK warheads was designed by the US Sandia Laboratory and is almost certainly procured from the USA.



High-explosive (HE)

This starts the nuclear explosion. The UK uses a different HE to the USA. Key explosives calculations for the US warhead cannot simply be duplicated so US labs assess the UK HE's long-term performance.



Neutron generator

This initiates nuclear fission. The neutron generator used in UK warheads is the MC4380, which is manufactured in the USA and acquired 'off the shelf'.



Gas reservoir

This supplies tritium to boost the fission process. It is most likely that the reservoir used in UK warheads is manufactured in the USA. UK gas reservoirs are filled with tritium in the USA.



Re-entry body shell

This is the cone-shaped body which contains the warhead. The UK purchases the Mark 4 re-entry body shell from the USA.



The D5 missile

The UK does not own its Trident missiles - they are leased from the USA. UK Trident submarines must regularly visit the US base at King's Bay, Georgia to return their missiles to the US stockpile for maintenance and replace them with others.



Guidance system

The Mark 6 guidance system used on the UK's Trident D5 missiles is designed and made in the USA by Charles Stark Draper Laboratories.



Submarines

UK Vanguard-class Trident submarines are UK-made, but many aspects of the design are copied from US submarines and many components are bought from the USA.



Navigation

The high accuracy of the Trident D5 missile depends on the submarine's position being precisely determined. This is achieved using two systems: GPS, which relies on satellites, and the Electrostatically Supported Giro Navigation System (ESGN), which uses gyroscopes. In both cases UK Trident submarines uses the same US system as the US Navy submarines. The USA has the ability to deny access to GPS at any time, rendering that form of navigation and targeting useless if the UK were to launch without US approval.



Targeting

Target packages are designed and formatting tapes produced on shore, then stored on the submarine - using US software at each stage.



Onshore targeting

The software installed in the computers at the Nuclear Operations and Targeting Centre in London is based on US models and is probably derived from the US Navy's Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile Integrated Planning System.



Weather and gravity data

The US Navy supplies local gravitational information and forecasts of weather over targets, both of which are vital to high missile accuracy, to US and UK submarines.



Fire control system (FCS)

Used to assign targets to the warheads on the submarines. UK submarines carry a slightly different model to that on US submarines. However, all the hardware and software used by the system is US-produced. The hardware is produced by General Dynamics Defense Systems. The contracts show that the UK uses similar, if not quite identical, software.



Management

British nuclear warheads are designed and made at Aldermaston near Reading. Aldermaston is part managed by the US corporation Lockheed Martin. Repairs to Britian's Trident submarine are carried out at Devonport, which is part managed by another US corporation, Halliburton.



Research and development

There is extensive cooperation between Aldermaston and America's nuclear weapon laboratories - Los Alamos in New Mexico and Sandia and Lawrence Livermore in California.



Testing

The W76 warhead was tested at the US nuclear test site in Nevada in the early 1990s. The UK has no test site of its own. The missiles are test launched from British submarines under US supervision at Cape Canaveral off the Florida coast. These tests are analysed by the Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) at Johns Hopkins University and by the Charles Stark Draper Laboratories.


Beanoncutandpastefromaverybigdocument Winker
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by acad tsunami
Good post Beano
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by Beano
quote:
Originally posted by Acad tsunami:
Good post Beano



Maybe it is Acad, or foolish, as it highlights the links between the UK and the USA are never likely to be broken, probably not in our lifetime at least!

Beano
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by Fulcrum
Quote from acad tsunami:
It seems to me that America is lost without an enemy, once the cold war was over it needed to invent a new one.

...And maybe they've bitten off more than they can chew with this one! Back in the cold war they faced countries that maybe looked back over the Berlin Wall at the west & thought "maybe we would rather be with them". The interest of former eastern bloc countries in joining NATO would indicate this.
Now here they are in Afghanistan and Iraq, desperately trying to establish a stronghold in the region. Unfortunately nobody, with the exception of Israel, wants them there. The days of their involvement with Saudi Arabia & Pakistan -both domestically unpopular regimes facing revolt- are numbered.
The U.S. has been busy building bases in Afghanistan and Iraq for their permanent presence (so I've been led to believe), so when Pakistan & Saudi Arabia implode they won't be left out in the cold.
Another "benefit" to an ongoing conflict for the U.S. is that the arms manufacturers can keep on producing ordnance at a healthy rate. Unlike the cold war it doesn't just sit in storage for an indefinite amount of time. Or have to be sold on, of course! (Circa 1979: "Would you like to buy these nice NATO weapons, Saddam?"
I fear that due to the importance of the region to the U.S. economy a military prescence will be sustained in these countries regardless of who is in power. I hope I'm wrong. Maybe I'm being cynical but politicians will tell us anything just to get in power. Once they're there...
Hasn't anything been learned from the decade the U.S. spent in Vietnam? Hasn't anything been learned from the decade the Soviets spent in Afghanistan?
As for Somalia, I seem to remember U.S. troops being there in the not too distant past. What I don't remember was their prescence being a success.
I rarely post on this forum but I'm always here reading. It's great to read & learn from everyone and I'm happy to be corrected if what I post is factually inaccurate. Keep up the stimulating posting -great for the grey matter!
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by acad tsunami
Good Post Fulcrum. You should post more often.

I have just finished watching Terror Storm an excellent American documentary about false flag ops - its nearly 3 hours long but its well worth watching and confirms my own research and conclusions. On the one hand I am happy there are people out there who have come to the same conclusions, on the other hand it fills me with dread.
Posted on: 14 January 2007 by u5227470736789439
Dear Beano,

That was a fantastic post. On balance whatever Willy's friend thinks, it is clear that in no way would Trident be usable without complete US complicity and co-opereration. So Keegan, in the Telegraph, would have been correct in his assertion that Trident could nor be used without US support and approval... pressumbly he was more aware of these things than most of us at the time, but those who were aware of them as well would hardly, at that time, have had the brass neck to counter his assertions...

Therefore let us forget it. We cannot go it alone nowadays, as a second division economy in the world.

Indeed no post here has yet to convince me that we should remain shackled to US foreign policy. Clearly unless someone can come up with something big, I think our world interests are increasingly diverging from those of the US...

I am very grateful for the airing of others' ideas here. Fredrik